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Table 1: DATA
SOURCE |
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Variables: |
Source: |
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FDI Flows |
International Direct Investment Database (OECD) |
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GDP |
World Economic Indicators |
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Population |
World Economic Indicators |
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Number of Workers |
World Economic Indicators |
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Distance |
Andrew Rose's website: www.haas.berkeley.edu/~arose |
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Common Language |
Andrew Rose's website: www.haas.berkeley.edu/~arose |
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Education Attainment |
Barro-Lee Dataset, http://www.nber.org/pub/barro.lee/ |
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ICRG Index of Financial Risk Rating |
PRS Group |
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Capital Stock |
Francesco Caselli’s website: http://personal.lse.ac.uk/casellif |
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Table 2: FREQUENCY OF SOURCE-HOST INTERACTIONS BY COUNTRIES |
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Country |
Source |
Host |
Country |
Source |
Host |
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Algeria |
0.02 |
0.04 |
Korea |
0.45 |
0.31 |
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Argentina |
0.16 |
0.37 |
Kuwait |
0.04 |
0.00 |
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Australia |
0.24 |
0.32 |
Libya |
0.02 |
0.02 |
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Austria |
0.42 |
0.19 |
Malaysia |
0.17 |
0.32 |
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Belgium |
0.00 |
0.00 |
Mexico |
0.05 |
0.38 |
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Brazil |
0.18 |
0.37 |
Morocco |
0.07 |
0.17 |
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Bulgaria |
0.06 |
0.19 |
Netherlands |
0.52 |
0.34 |
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Canada |
0.22 |
0.23 |
Netherlands Antilles |
0.07 |
0.03 |
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Chile |
0.07 |
0.32 |
New Zealand |
0.16 |
0.19 |
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China |
0.24 |
0.40 |
Norway |
0.28 |
0.19 |
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Chinese Taipei |
0.24 |
0.29 |
Panama |
0.06 |
0.06 |
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Colombia |
0.08 |
0.18 |
Philippines |
0.10 |
0.31 |
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Costa Rica |
0.03 |
0.02 |
Poland |
0.12 |
0.30 |
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Czech Republic |
0.06 |
0.16 |
Portugal |
0.25 |
0.30 |
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Czechoslovakia |
0.02 |
0.02 |
Romania |
0.07 |
0.20 |
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Denmark |
0.36 |
0.23 |
Russia |
0.15 |
0.27 |
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Egypt |
0.06 |
0.21 |
Saudi Arabia |
0.07 |
0.06 |
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Finland |
0.38 |
0.18 |
Singapore |
0.29 |
0.37 |
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France |
0.75 |
0.62 |
Slovak Republic |
0.02 |
0.08 |
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Germany |
0.65 |
0.47 |
Slovenia |
0.05 |
0.12 |
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Greece |
0.07 |
0.17 |
South Africa |
0.15 |
0.24 |
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Hong Kong (China) |
0.34 |
0.37 |
Spain |
0.49 |
0.47 |
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Hungary |
0.08 |
0.20 |
Sweden |
0.42 |
0.28 |
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Iceland |
0.14 |
0.09 |
Switzerland |
0.46 |
0.22 |
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India |
0.15 |
0.36 |
Thailand |
0.10 |
0.35 |
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Indonesia |
0.12 |
0.30 |
Turkey |
0.10 |
0.20 |
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Iran |
0.10 |
0.07 |
Ukraine |
0.05 |
0.13 |
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Ireland |
0.20 |
0.24 |
United Arab Emirates |
0.03 |
0.04 |
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Israel |
0.24 |
0.22 |
United Kingdom |
0.60 |
0.41 |
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Italy |
0.52 |
0.36 |
United States |
0.63 |
0.47 |
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Japan |
0.64 |
0.32 |
Venezuela |
0.13 |
0.21 |
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Table 3: Bilateral
FDI Flows and Selection Equations (Observations on
Non-OECD to Non-OECD FDI are excluded) |
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Panel A |
Panel B |
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|
Flow |
Selection |
Flow |
Selection |
|
Host-Output per worker |
0.037 |
-0.026 |
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|
|
|
(0.012)** |
(0.010)** |
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|
|
Host-Instrumented output per worker |
|
|
-0.020 |
-0.038 |
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|
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|
(0.016) |
(0.012)** |
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Source-Output per worker |
0.002 |
-0.025 |
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|
(0.014) |
(0.009)** |
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Source-Instrumented output per worker |
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|
-0.078 |
-0.023 |
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|
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|
(0.016)** |
(0.013) |
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GDP per capita - host^ |
1.373 |
0.345 |
2.192 |
0.163 |
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|
(0.345)** |
(0.250) |
(0.289)** |
(0.218) |
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GDP per capita - source^ |
1.839 |
0.609 |
2.181 |
0.326 |
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|
(0.431)** |
(0.276)* |
(0.339)** |
(0.226) |
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Difference between schooling (source – host) |
0.038 |
-0.097 |
0.058 |
-0.106 |
|
|
(0.042) |
(0.032)** |
(0.044) |
(0.034)** |
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Common language |
0.728 |
0.323 |
0.727 |
0.321 |
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|
(0.066)** |
(0.055)** |
(0.066)** |
(0.055)** |
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Distance (in Logs) |
-0.982 |
-0.534 |
-0.984 |
-0.535 |
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|
(0.027)** |
(0.030)** |
(0.027)** |
(0.030)** |
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Population-host^ |
-1.536 |
-0.483 |
-1.687 |
-0.303 |
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|
(0.771)* |
(0.613) |
(0.773)* |
(0.606) |
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Population-source^ |
-1.332 |
0.708 |
-1.411 |
1.014 |
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|
(0.912) |
(0.649) |
(0.909) |
(0.642) |
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Financial risk rating - source |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
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|
(0.007) |
(0.005) |
(0.007) |
(0.005) |
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Financial risk rating - host |
0.018 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
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|
(0.006)** |
(0.005)** |
(0.006) |
(0.005)* |
|
FDI flows from i to j a year ago ( =1 if yes) |
|
1.599 |
|
1.602 |
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|
|
(0.038)** |
|
(0.038)** |
|
Correlation (Ui,j, Vi,j) |
-0.064 |
|
-0.059 |
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|
|
(0.028)* |
|
(0.028)* |
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|
Inverse Mills ratio |
-0.092 |
|
-0.084 |
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|
|
(0.041)* |
|
(0.040)* |
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Observations |
17656 |
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Censored observations |
10906 |
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Uncensored observations |
6750 |
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Note:
^ in logs; Country and time fixed effects are included; Robust standard
errors in parentheses; *
significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% |
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Table 4: Bilateral FDI Flows and Selection Equations(Observations on
Non-OECD to Non-OECD FDI are excluded; Two-year smoothing) |
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|
Panel A |
Panel B |
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|
Flow |
Selection |
Flow |
Selection |
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Host-Output per worker |
0.032 |
-0.004 |
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|
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|
(0.015)** |
(0.012) |
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Host-Instrumented output per worker |
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|
-0.032 |
-0.021 |
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|
(0.020) |
(0.018) |
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Source-Output per worker |
-0.007 |
-0.018 |
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|
(0.016) |
(0.012) |
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Source-Instrumented output per worker |
|
|
-0.101 |
-0.015 |
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|
|
|
(0.020)** |
(0.018) |
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GDP per capita - host^ |
1.371 |
0.216 |
2.234 |
0.260 |
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|
(0.473)** |
(0.367) |
(0.380)** |
(0.307) |
|
GDP per capita - source^ |
1.595 |
0.291 |
1.771 |
0.041 |
|
|
(0.509)** |
(0.404) |
(0.396)** |
(0.321) |
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Difference between schooling (source – host) |
0.024 |
-0.081 |
0.045 |
-0.084 |
|
|
(0.053) |
(0.044) |
(0.055) |
(0.046) |
|
Common language |
0.778 |
0.299 |
0.779 |
0.298 |
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|
(0.081)** |
(0.072)** |
(0.081)** |
(0.072)** |
|
Distance (in Logs) |
-1.042 |
-0.591 |
-1.046 |
-0.592 |
|
|
(0.034)** |
(0.042)** |
(0.034)** |
(0.042)** |
|
Population-host^ |
-0.830 |
-1.721 |
-0.750 |
-1.729 |
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|
(0.944) |
(0.858)* |
(0.948) |
(0.853)* |
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Population-source^ |
0.375 |
-0.588 |
0.516 |
-0.359 |
|
|
(1.096) |
(0.847) |
(1.097) |
(0.850) |
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Financial risk rating - source |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.015 |
-0.005 |
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|
(0.009) |
(0.007) |
(0.009) |
(0.007) |
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Financial risk rating - host |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
|
|
(0.008) |
(0.007)* |
(0.008) |
(0.007) |
|
FDI flows from i to j a year ago ( =1 if yes) |
|
1.405 |
|
1.406 |
|
|
|
(0.050)** |
|
(0.050)** |
|
Correlation (Ui,j, Vi,j) |
-0.061 |
|
-0.056 |
|
|
|
(0.034) |
|
(0.034) |
|
|
Inverse Mills ratio |
-0.085 |
|
-0.079 |
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|
|
(0.048) |
|
(0.047) |
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Observations |
9689 |
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Censored observations |
5410 |
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Uncensored observations |
4279 |
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Note:
^ in logs; Country and time fixed effects are included; Robust standard
errors in parentheses; *
significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% |
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Table 5: Bilateral
FDI Flows and Selection Equations (Observations on
Non-OECD to Non-OECD FDI are included) |
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|
Panel A |
Panel B |
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|
|
Flow |
Selection |
Flow |
Selection |
|
Host-Output per worker |
0.037 |
-0.026 |
|
|
|
|
(0.012)** |
(0.009)** |
|
|
|
Host-Instrumented output per worker |
|
|
-0.019 |
-0.040 |
|
|
|
|
(0.016) |
(0.012)** |
|
Source-Output per worker |
0.001 |
-0.023 |
|
|
|
|
(0.014) |
(0.009)** |
|
|
|
Source-Instrumented output per worker |
|
|
-0.078 |
-0.025 |
|
|
|
|
(0.016)** |
(0.012)* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP per capita - host^ |
1.374 |
0.277 |
2.193 |
0.126 |
|
|
(0.345)** |
(0.228) |
(0.289)** |
(0.204) |
|
GDP per capita - source^ |
1.845 |
0.527 |
2.185 |
0.312 |
|
|
(0.431)** |
(0.257)* |
(0.339)** |
(0.214) |
|
Difference between schooling (source – host) |
0.037 |
-0.091 |
0.058 |
-0.098 |
|
|
(0.042) |
(0.031)** |
(0.044) |
(0.033)** |
|
Common language |
0.730 |
0.294 |
0.729 |
0.291 |
|
|
(0.066)** |
(0.051)** |
(0.066)** |
(0.051)** |
|
Distance (in Logs) |
-0.986 |
-0.385 |
-0.988 |
-0.387 |
|
|
(0.027)** |
(0.023)** |
(0.027)** |
(0.024)** |
|
Population-host^ |
-1.549 |
-0.733 |
-1.698 |
-0.512 |
|
|
(0.771)* |
(0.558) |
(0.773)* |
(0.554) |
|
Population-source^ |
-1.316 |
0.385 |
-1.395 |
0.709 |
|
|
(0.912) |
(0.599) |
(0.909) |
(0.595) |
|
Financial risk rating - source |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
|
|
(0.007) |
(0.005) |
(0.007) |
(0.005) |
|
Financial risk rating - host |
0.018 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
|
|
(0.006)** |
(0.005) |
(0.006) |
(0.005) |
|
FDI flows from i to j a year ago ( =1 if yes) |
|
1.691 |
|
1.694 |
|
|
|
(0.037)** |
|
(0.037)** |
|
Correlation (Ui,j, Vi,j) |
-0.058 |
|
-0.052 |
|
|
|
(0.027)* |
|
(0.027) |
|
|
Inverse Mills ratio |
-0.083 |
|
-0.075 |
|
|
|
(0.039)* |
|
(0.039) |
|
|
Observations |
21406 |
|
|
|
|
Censored observations |
14656 |
|
|
|
|
Uncensored observations |
6750 |
|
|
|
|
Note:
^ in logs; Country and time fixed effects are included; Robust standard
errors in parentheses *
significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% |
||||
|
Table 6: Bilateral
FDI Flows and Selection Equations (Observations on
Non-OECD to Non-OECD FDI are included; Two-year smoothing) |
||||
|
|
Panel A |
Panel B |
||
|
|
Flow |
Selection |
Flow |
Selection |
|
Host-Output per worker |
0.032 |
-0.004 |
|
|
|
|
(0.015)** |
(0.012) |
|
|
|
Host-Instrumented output per worker |
|
|
-0.032 |
-0.018 |
|
|
|
|
(0.020) |
(0.017) |
|
Source-Output per worker |
-0.007 |
-0.014 |
|
|
|
|
(0.016) |
(0.011) |
|
|
|
Source-Instrumented output per worker |
|
|
-0.101 |
-0.018 |
|
|
|
|
(0.020)** |
(0.017) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP per capita - host^ |
1.369 |
0.103 |
2.233 |
0.155 |
|
|
(0.473)** |
(0.329) |
(0.380)** |
(0.285) |
|
GDP per capita - source^ |
1.602 |
0.194 |
1.773 |
0.062 |
|
|
(0.509)** |
(0.371) |
(0.396)** |
(0.301) |
|
Difference between schooling (source – host) |
0.024 |
-0.069 |
0.045 |
-0.069 |
|
|
(0.053) |
(0.041) |
(0.055) |
(0.044) |
|
Common language |
0.781 |
0.257 |
0.781 |
0.256 |
|
|
(0.081)** |
(0.066)** |
(0.081)** |
(0.066)** |
|
Distance (in Logs) |
-1.047 |
-0.398 |
-1.050 |
-0.399 |
|
|
(0.034)** |
(0.031)** |
(0.034)** |
(0.031)** |
|
Population-host^ |
-0.851 |
-2.409 |
-0.767 |
-2.354 |
|
|
(0.940) |
(0.781)** |
(0.944) |
(0.784)** |
|
Population-source^ |
0.385 |
-0.791 |
0.527 |
-0.566 |
|
|
(1.096) |
(0.776) |
(1.096) |
(0.786) |
|
Financial risk rating - source |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.015 |
-0.007 |
|
|
(0.009) |
(0.007) |
(0.009) |
(0.007) |
|
Financial risk rating - host |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
|
|
(0.008) |
(0.006)* |
(0.008) |
(0.007) |
|
FDI flows from i to j a year ago ( =1 if yes) |
|
1.517 |
|
1.518 |
|
|
|
(0.049)** |
|
(0.049)** |
|
Correlation (Ui,j, Vi,j) |
-0.050 |
|
-0.045 |
|
|
|
(0.033) |
|
(0.033) |
|
|
Inverse Mills ratio |
-0.071 |
|
-0.063 |
|
|
|
(0.047) |
|
(0.046) |
|
|
Observations |
11828 |
|
|
|
|
Censored observations |
7549 |
|
|
|
|
Uncensored observations |
4279 |
|
|
|
|
Note:
^ in logs; Country and time fixed effects are included; Robust standard
errors in parentheses * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% |
||||
|
Table 7: The Instrumented Productivity Equation |
|
|
Capital over labor
ratio |
2.33 (0.09)** |
|
Years of schooling |
0.66 (0.19)** |
|
Observations |
879 |
|
R-squared |
0.99 |
|
Note:
Country and time fixed effects are included; Standard
errors in parentheses; ** significant at 1% |
|
