Nicholas M. Kiefer
 

 

 

 

 
Recent Papers
 

 

 

 

 
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Recent Papers

 

Bayesian Methods for Default Estimation in Low Default Portfolios, Presented at the BIS, Basel, March 2007

Default Estimation, Correlated Defaults, and Expert Information, April 2008

The Smooth Colonel Meets the Reverend (w. J. Racine), April 2008

Annual Default Rates are Probably Less Than Long-Run Average Annual Default Rates, February, 2008

Development and Validation of Credit-Scoring Models, (with H. Choi, D. Glennon and C. E. Larson), September, 2007

The Probability Approach to Default Estimation, Risk, July 2007, p. 146-150. Reprinted in AsiaRisk, September 2007.

Differential Geometry, Bias Correction, and Nonnested Hypothesis Testing (with H. Choi), April, 2006

A Simulation Estimator for Testing the Time
Homogeneity of Credit Rating Transitions
(with C. E. Larson), Journal of Empirical Finance
14 (2007) 818-835

Default Estimation for Low-Default Portfolios, Journal of Empirical Finance, forthcoming 2008

Robust Nonnested Testing and the Demand for Money (with H. Choi), February, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 26:1 (2008) 9-17.

Evaluating Design Choices in Economic Capital Modeling:  A Loss Function Approach (with C. E. Larson), in Economic Capital: A Practitioner Guide, A. Dev (ed), ch. 15.  Risk Books, London 2004

Robust model selection in dynamic models with an application to comparing predictive accuracy (with H. Choi), October, 2006

Bank Failure: Evidence from the Colombian Financial Crisis (with J. Gomez-Gonzalez), October, 2006

A New Asymptotic Theory for Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Tests  (with T. Vogelsang), Econometric Theory, 21, 1130-1164, 2005

Specification and Informational Issues in Credit Scoring (with C. E. Larson), International Journal of Statistics and Management Systems 1: 152-178 (2006)

Economics and the Origin of the Restaurant, Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, August 2002.

 

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